Will any of Sabrina Carpenter's new hits claim the top 100 spot next week?

The contenders is a midweek column that looks at artists aiming for the top Advertising sign charts and the strategies behind their efforts. Next week (for next Billboard Hot 100 dated June 22), a newly released pop superstar has two songs that could take the top spot next week.

Sabrina Carpenter, “Please Please Please” & “Espresso” (Island/Republic): Sabrina Carpenter's set at New York City's Gov Ball music festival on Saturday (June 8) was something of a coronation, as the rising pop star played to a late-afternoon headliner-worthy crowd, creating near-hysteria at Flushing Meadows Corona Park with her now full set of hits. It helped that he also had a brand new hit to play live for the first time: the slapping, pleading and unexpectedly sharp “Please Please Please.”

“Please” was released just last Friday, along with a buzzed-about video starring her now-confirmed real-life, Oscar-nominated co-star Saltburn star Barry Keoghan. By the time of her Saturday performance, the song had already gone viral, proving especially catchy on TikTok for its radio-unfriendly chorus: “Heartbreak is another, my ego is another/ Please don't embarrass me, mama-ker. ” (Signs held in the audience read “Please Please Please Play “Please Please Please””)

While the song was an instant hit on streaming, Carpenter's Gov Ball set (which also garnered a lot of attention online) only added fuel to the fire — helping the song top the daily and real-time charts for both Spotify and and for Apple Music, as her video continued to dominate YouTube's Music Trending page. It has continued to grow on DSP alone in recent days, netting over 5 million daily US plays on Spotify as of Tuesday. The song has been less immediately dominant in sales and radio airplay, but has also reached the top 10 on iTunes' real-time chart, and is starting to get some early airplay, led by SiriusXM's Hits 1 channel.

But of course, the older the song gets, the more traffic it gets than her current hot smash: “Espresso,” which sits 5-6 on this week's Hot 100 (dated June 15) but is also up. the board following the release of “Please” and Carpenter's Saturday festival. On Spotify, the song is No. 2 behind “Please” on the Daily Top Songs USA chart, while it ranks No. 5 on Apple Music's real-time chart. It's leading “Please” on iTunes, and it's apparently way ahead of the new song on airplay, having crossed the top 10 Advertising signThe Radio Songs chart for the first time this week. (Incredibly, both songs still follow her Email I can't send The deluxe edition cut “Feather” there, which falls gently to No. 8 on this chart after peaking at No. 5 in May.)

Both “Please” and “Espresso” are likely to top the Hot 100's top five this week, and may even grab the No. 1 spot. Their chances will have to depend on how both songs continue to maintain their post-weekend momentum in the final days of the tracking week — or grow even more — with “Please” likely to have the inside track between the two songs based on how stratospheric its streaming numbers have already been.

Post Malone feat. Morgan Wallen, “I Had Some Help” (Mercury/Republic/Big Loud): Speaking of Gov Ball: Friday's headliner was none other than Post Malone, who of course got a huge reception across the board — particularly for his encore performance of Wallen's current four-week Hot 100-topper, “I Had Some Help. ” (No guest appearance by Wallen, unfortunately for those in attendance.) The show didn't have the galvanizing effect on streaming that Carpenter had—perhaps he could have used a brand new song as well, since “Help” was the only new song from Post's much-hyped country pivot will appear on Friday's setlist – but the song is still sitting at No. 3 on the Spotify and Apple Music charts and No. 5 on iTunes.

The key to “Help” maintaining separation from Carpenter's pair of hits is, of course, its still-growing radio dominance. The song is No. 5 on Radio Songs this week — up 13% according to Luminate — and jumps 4-3 on Country Airplay and 14-10 on Pop Airplay. If, as a trend, his presence continues to expand in those formats this week, while Carpenter's hits perhaps have some kind of air vote, it would certainly help “Help” in its campaign for an uninterrupted fifth week on the Hot 100. decision.

IN THE MIX

Shaboozey, “A Bar Song (Tipsy)” (American Dogwood/EMPIRE/Magnolia Music): A little further out of the pop zeitgeist than Posty or Sabrina, Shaboozey's solo breakthrough smash just keeps getting bigger and bigger. While maintaining in the top five Advertising signOn the Streaming Songs and Digital Song Sales charts, it also jumps 22-16 on Radio Songs, an unusually prolific presence across all formats. Advertising signHis chart team reports this week that “A Bar Song (Tipsy)” is the first song to reach the top 25 simultaneously on the Country Airplay, Pop Airplay, Adult Pop Airplay and Rhythmic Airplay charts — which have been together since 1996. The song should continue to compete on the Hot H top five of the 100 as it steadily climbs at radio, meaning it can never be more than a spot-on remix away from making a serious bid for No. 1.

Billie Eilish, 'Birds of a Feather' (Darkroom/Interscope/ICLG): “Birds” (No. 11, a new high) passed “Lunch” (No. 13, after reaching No. 5) last week for the highest ranking Hot 100 hit since Billie Eilish's new Hit with hard and soft album – and next week, “Birds” could reach the top 10 for the first time as it continues to build on streaming (No. 3 on Spotify, No. 8 on Apple Music). It's also starting to soar at radio, with 1.3 million all-format plays June 7-10, off the back of airplay from early leaders like SiriusXM's TikTok Radio and Hits 1, KMVQ San Francisco, WWWQ Atlanta and WIHT Washington, DC

Chappell Roan, “Good Luck, Babe!” (KRA/Entertainment/Island/Democracy): Of course, discussion of Gov Ball's overall hit would be incomplete without mentioning Chappell Roan, whose spectacular Sunday afternoon set – featuring the singer-songwriter in full Statue of Liberty guise, green skin paint included – it also gave the overall catalog a significant boost. Leading the charge is latest single “Good Luck, Babe!”, which climbs 31-26 on the Hot 100 this week and should be expected for another big jump in the next frame. Whether or not the song can crack the top tier of the chart may depend on whether it can garner further radio support, as “Babe” has yet to crack the top 50 Radio Songs chart, but it's getting close — including a No. 31-29 head over to Pop Airplay this week.